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Momentum and Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift Anomalies

Momentum and Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift Anomalies
Author: Ronnie Sadka
Publisher:
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper investigates the components of liquidity risk that are important for asset-pricing anomalies. Firm-level liquidity is decomposed into variable and fixed price effects and estimated using intraday data for the period 1983-2001. Unexpected systematic (market-wide) variations of the variable component rather than the fixed component of liquidity are shown to be priced within the context of momentum and post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD) portfolio returns. As the variable component is typically associated with private information (e.g., Kyle (1985)), the results suggest that a substantial part of momentum and PEAD returns can be viewed as compensation for the unexpected variations in the aggregate ratio of informed traders to noise traders.


Post-Earnings Announcement Drift

Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
Author: Tomas Tomcany
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
Total Pages: 92
Release: 2010-11
Genre:
ISBN: 9783843367813

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It is a well documented finding in finance theory that share prices drift in the direction of firms' unexpected earnings changes, a phenomenom known as post-earnings announcement drift, or earnings momentum. In this book, I study the stock prices' reaction to firms' quarterly earnings announcements. The book shows that the timeframe in which the drift occurs is related to the size of a firm and is limited in time after the earnings announcement. I further analyze the effect of the number of analysts covering a firm on the magnitude and persistance of post-earnings announcement drift. I document that recent analyst coverage predicts large drifts after the earnings announcements. I suggest several possible explanations, but the evidence seems most consistent with recent analyst coverage providing information about investor (or analyst) expectations regarding firm's future earnings. This book should be useful to professionals in Financial Economics, especially to those interested in Behavioral Finance in stock markets, but also to equity analysts, traders or investors interested in the stocks' response to earnings news.


The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies

The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies
Author: Leonard Zacks
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 352
Release: 2011-08-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118127765

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Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.


When Two Anomalies Meet

When Two Anomalies Meet
Author: Zhipeng Yan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 15
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study of the post-earnings announcement drift and the value-glamour anomaly finds that value stocks have greater information uncertainty, exhibit more-muted initial market reactions to earnings surprises, and have better (more positive or less negative) post-earnings announcement drifts than do glamour stocks. A trading strategy based on these findings can generate an average annual abnormal return of 16.6-18.8 percent before transaction costs.


Analysts' Forecast Dispersion and Stock Market Anomalies

Analysts' Forecast Dispersion and Stock Market Anomalies
Author: Tingting Liu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

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We show that understanding the role of analysts' forecast bias is central to discovering the behavior that causes some stocks to have high analyst forecast dispersion. This finding is important because stocks with high analyst forecast dispersion contribute significantly to many important anomalies. We first explain how forecast bias produces significant negative future returns in the high dispersion portfolio. Next we examine the effect of these stocks on momentum returns, the profitability anomaly, and post-earnings announcement drift. Finally, we examine the performance of four asset pricing models focusing on the model's ability to explain the returns to these high dispersion stocks.


The Relation Between Momentum and Drift

The Relation Between Momentum and Drift
Author: Zhilan Feng
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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We examine the industry-level relation between the two dominant asset pricing anomalies, the continuation of past price movements (momentum) and the incomplete reaction to earnings news (post-earnings-announcement drift). With the former having long been established in REIT returns, and the latter having only recently been documented, we show that the two returns phenomena are highly related in both the cross-section and time-series of industry-level returns, and the relation is negative. Additionally, the payoff to a REIT drift strategy largely dominates the payoff to a REIT momentum strategy in terms of greater economic magnitude and statistical significance.


The Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift and Liquidity Risk

The Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift and Liquidity Risk
Author: Gil Sadka
Publisher:
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper investigates the relation between the post-earnings-announcement drift anomaly and liquidity. First, we find that, on average, bad-news firms (low standardized unexpected earnings (SUE)) are less liquid than good-news firms (high SUE), reflecting more information asymmetry and/or uncertainty among bad-news firms. Yet, we argue that this liquidity spread is less likely to explain the drift. Second, the returns of SUE-sorted portfolios are sensitive to fluctuations in market-wide liquidity. We find that systematic liquidity risk is an important determinant in explaining the cross-sectional variation of expected returns among SUE-sorted portfolios. This implies that a substantial part of the post-earnings-announcement drift anomaly can be viewed as compensation for risk associated with shocks to the information environment in the economy. Therefore, the evidence suggests that the previously reported anomalous returns are associated with model misspecification and/or hidden transaction costs.


Quantitative Equity Investing

Quantitative Equity Investing
Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 528
Release: 2010-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470262478

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A comprehensive look at the tools and techniques used in quantitative equity management Some books attempt to extend portfolio theory, but the real issue today relates to the practical implementation of the theory introduced by Harry Markowitz and others who followed. The purpose of this book is to close the implementation gap by presenting state-of-the art quantitative techniques and strategies for managing equity portfolios. Throughout these pages, Frank Fabozzi, Sergio Focardi, and Petter Kolm address the essential elements of this discipline, including financial model building, financial engineering, static and dynamic factor models, asset allocation, portfolio models, transaction costs, trading strategies, and much more. They also provide ample illustrations and thorough discussions of implementation issues facing those in the investment management business and include the necessary background material in probability, statistics, and econometrics to make the book self-contained. Written by a solid author team who has extensive financial experience in this area Presents state-of-the art quantitative strategies for managing equity portfolios Focuses on the implementation of quantitative equity asset management Outlines effective analysis, optimization methods, and risk models In today's financial environment, you have to have the skills to analyze, optimize and manage the risk of your quantitative equity investments. This guide offers you the best information available to achieve this goal.


Post Earnings Announcement Drift, a Price Signal?

Post Earnings Announcement Drift, a Price Signal?
Author: Julien Messias
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper investigates the robustness of post-earnings-announcement-drift (PEAD) on a price signal perspective, unlike the traditional literature that focuses on fundamental signal. The studied period is 2003-2015, for four main US indices. The results suggest that some economic agents are too slow to integrate the information, although they still have a major market impact. We find a strong empirical evidence of the preeminence of this bias for Momentum stocks rather than blue-chips or non-Momentum small-caps. Even by challenging the strategy, the conclusion remains strong with abnormal returns linked to such market inefficiency, with better returns for positive signals than negative ones. We choose Nasdaq Composite as the backbone of our development as it is the closest index to Uncia's field of expertise. For indices known as Momentum, we find strong predictability of the systematic net exposure, the latter being a consequence of the long and short positions implied by the earnings signals.


The Behavior of Financial Markets under Rational Expectations

The Behavior of Financial Markets under Rational Expectations
Author: Yan Han
Publisher: Bridge 21 Publications
Total Pages: 152
Release: 2022-10-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1626430888

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The financial markets have become more and more important in modern society. The behavior of the financial markets, and its impacts on our society, relies crucially on the behavior of market participants, aka the investors of different types. Although descriptions of the financial markets on the macro level have caught great attentions of investors, regulators, and the ordinary people, how the market participants interact with each other in the financial market may provide deeper insights on how and why the financial markets behave. This book tries to supply as much research on the micro level of financial market behavior as possible to the readers. The author has been doing financial research, especially on the micro level, during the past two decades. The academic research on this broad area has undergone a rapid growth, with new results, methods, theories, and even paradigms, emerging and burgeoning almost every year. As a financial researcher in one of China’s top universities, the author has kept monitoring, digesting, and synthesizing the research articles in the area. This book is the outcome of this decades-long routine research work of the author. The book covers the fundamental economic theories of how different investors receive and interpret information. The empirical results of investors behavior are also discussed in depth. The book also shows the basic academic techniques of modeling the investors behavior.