Maintaining Effective Deterrence PDF Download
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Author | : Colin S. Gray |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 69 |
Release | : 2003-08-01 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9781423547945 |
Download Maintaining Effective Deterrence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
While deterrence is as old as human conflict itself, it became particularly important with the advent of nuclear weapons when armed conflict between the superpowers had the potential to end civilization. Today, though, there is a sense that terrorism has rendered deterrence obsolete and forced the United States to substitute preemption for it. In this monograph, Dr. Colin Gray illustrates that strategic reality is not simple. Instead the two are inextricable. 'Preemption,' as Dr. Gray notes, 'needs all the assistance that it can garner from effective deterrence.' The United States 'has no practical choice other than to make of deterrence all that it can be, albeit in some seemingly unpromising conditions.' Dr. Gray provides both a conceptual framework for understanding deterrence-or, more accurately, the psychology of deterrence and policy guidance on how the United States can most effectively use it. He concludes that an adaptable and flexible military with robust landpower is the only tool that can maintain deterrence. The Strategic Studies Institute is pleased to offer this monograph as part of the ongoing debate on American national security strategy in the era of global terrorism.
Author | : Colin S. Gray |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 72 |
Release | : 2003 |
Genre | : Deterence (Strategy) |
ISBN | : |
Download Maintaining Effective Deterrence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
While deterrence is as old as human conflict itself, it became particularly important with the advent of nuclear weapons when armed conflict between the superpowers had the potential to end civilization. Today there is a sense that terrorism has rendered deterrence obsolete and forced the United States to substitute preemption for it. The author illustrates that strategic reality is not simple. He provides both a conceptual framework for understanding deterrence or, more accurately, the psychology of deterrence and policy guidance on how the United States can most effectively use it. The author concludes that an adaptable and flexible military with robust landpower is the only tool that can maintain deterrence.
Author | : National Research Council |
Publisher | : National Academies Press |
Total Pages | : 244 |
Release | : 1997-05-02 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 030905639X |
Download Post-Cold War Conflict Deterrence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Deterrence as a strategic concept evolved during the Cold War. During that period, deterrence strategy was aimed mainly at preventing aggression against the United States and its close allies by the hostile Communist power centersâ€"the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) and its allies, Communist China and North Korea. In particular, the strategy was devised to prevent aggression involving nuclear attack by the USSR or China. Since the end of the Cold War, the risk of war among the major powers has subsided to the lowest point in modern history. Still, the changing nature of the threats to American and allied security interests has stimulated a considerable broadening of the deterrence concept. Post-Cold War Conflict Deterrence examines the meaning of deterrence in this new environment and identifies key elements of a post-Cold War deterrence strategy and the critical issues in devising such a strategy. It further examines the significance of these findings for the U.S. Navy and Marine Corps. Quantitative and qualitative measures to support judgments about the potential success or failure of deterrence are identified. Such measures will bear on the suitability of the naval forces to meet the deterrence objectives. The capabilities of U.S. naval forces that especially bear on the deterrence objectives also are examined. Finally, the book examines the utility of models, games, and simulations as decision aids in improving the naval forces' understanding of situations in which deterrence must be used and in improving the potential success of deterrence actions.
Author | : Paul K. Davis |
Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
Total Pages | : 107 |
Release | : 2002-11-27 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 0833034065 |
Download Deterrence and Influence in Counterterrorism Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
It may not be possible to deter fanatical terrorists, but members of terrorist systems may be amenable to influence. The U.S. counterterrorism strategy should therefore include political warfare, placing at risk things the terrorists hold dear, a credible threat of force against states or groups that support acquisition of weapons of mass destruction, and maintaining cooperation with other nations engaged in the war on terror, while also preserving core American values.
Author | : Keith B. Payne |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 171 |
Release | : 2014-06-11 |
Genre | : History |
ISBN | : 1317980298 |
Download Understanding Deterrence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
For decades, the rational actor model served as the preferred guide for U.S. deterrence policy. It has been a convenient and comforting guide because it requires little detailed knowledge of an opponent’s unique decision-making process and yet typically provides confident generalizations about how deterrence works. The model tends to postulate common decision-making parameters across the globe to reach generalizations about how deterrence will function and the types of forces that will be "stabilizing" or "destabilizing." Yet a broad spectrum of unique factors can influence an opponent’s perceptions and his calculations, and these are not easily captured by the rational actor model. The absence of uniformity means there can be very few deterrence generalizations generated by the use of the rational actor model that are applicable to the entire range of opponents. Understanding Deterrence considers how factors such as psychology, history, religion, ideology, geography, political structure, culture, proliferation and geopolitics can shape a leadership’s decision-making process, in ways that are specific and unique to each opponent. Understanding Deterrence demonstrates how using a multidisciplinary approach to deterrence analysis can better identify and assess factors that influence an opponent’s decision-making process. This identification and assessment process can facilitate the tailoring of deterrence strategies to specific purposes and result in a higher likelihood of success than strategies guided by the generalizations about opponent decision-making typically contained in the rational actor model. This book was published as a special issue of Comparative Strategy.
Author | : Barry R. Schneider |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 466 |
Release | : 2012 |
Genre | : Arms control |
ISBN | : 9780974740386 |
Download Tailored Deterrence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Air Univeristy Press |
Publisher | : Military Bookshop |
Total Pages | : 344 |
Release | : 2014-09-01 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 9781782667100 |
Download Thinking about Deterrence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
With many scholars and analysts questioning the relevance of deterrence as a valid strategic concept, this volume moves beyond Cold War nuclear deterrence to show the many ways in which deterrence is applicable to contemporary security. It examines the possibility of applying deterrence theory and practice to space, to cyberspace, and against non-state actors. It also examines the role of nuclear deterrence in the twenty-first century and reaches surprising conclusions.
Author | : Antulio J. Echevarria II |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
Total Pages | : 161 |
Release | : 2024 |
Genre | : History |
ISBN | : 0197760155 |
Download Military Strategy: A Very Short Introduction Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Military Strategy: A Very Short Introduction adapts Clausewitz's framework to highlight the dynamic relationship between the main elements of strategy: purpose, method, and means. Drawing on historical examples, Antulio J. Echevarria discusses the major types of military strategy and how emerging technologies are affecting them. This second edition has been updated to include an expanded chapter on manipulation through cyberwarfare and new further reading.
Author | : John J. Mearsheimer |
Publisher | : Cornell University Press |
Total Pages | : 298 |
Release | : 1985-08-21 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 1501713256 |
Download Conventional Deterrence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Conventional Deterrence is a book about the origins of war. Why do nations faced with the prospect of large-scale conventional war opt for or against an offensive strategy? John J. Mearsheimer examines a number of crises that led to major conventional wars to explain why deterrence failed. He focuses first on Allied and German decision making in the years 1939–1940, analyzing why the Allies did not strike first against Germany after declaring war and, conversely, why the Germans did attack the West. Turning to the Middle East, he examines the differences in Israeli and Egyptian strategic doctrines prior to the start of the major conventional conflicts in that region. Mearsheimer then critically assays the relative strengths and weaknesses of NATO and the Warsaw Pact to determine the prospects for conventional deterrence in any future crisis. He is also concerned with examining such relatively technical issues as the impact of precision-guided munitions (PGM) on conventional deterrence and the debate over maneuver versus attrition warfare.Mearsheimer pays considerable attention to questions of military strategy and tactics. Challenging the claim that conventional detrrence is largely a function of the numerical balance of forces, he also takes issue with the school of thought that ascribes deterrence failures to the dominance of "offensive" weaponry. In addition to examining the military consideration underlying deterrence, he also analyzes the interaction between those military factors and the broader political considerations that move a nation to war.
Author | : Abram N. Shulsky |
Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
Total Pages | : 85 |
Release | : 2000 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 9780833028532 |
Download Deterrence Theory and Chinese Behavior Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
China's recent reforms have led to unprecedented economic growth; if this continues, China will be able to turn its great potential power into actual power. The result could be, in the very long term, the rise of China as a rival to the United States as the world's predominant power; in the nearer term, China could become a significant rival in the East Asian region. In this context, the issue for U.S. policy is how to handle a rising power, a problem that predominant powers have faced many times throughout history. It is the contention of this report that the future Sino-U.S. context will illustrate many of the problems of deterrence theory that have been discussed in recent decades; deterrence theory will be, in general, more difficult to apply than it was in the U.S.-Soviet Cold War context. The key may be to seek nonmilitary means of deterrence, i.e., diplomatic ways to manipulate the tension to China's disadvantage.