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Author | : John Zaller |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 388 |
Release | : 1992-08-28 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 9780521407861 |
Download The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This 1992 book explains how people acquire political information from elites and the mass media and convert it into political preferences.
Author | : Hans Rosling |
Publisher | : Flatiron Books |
Total Pages | : 353 |
Release | : 2018-04-03 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 125012381X |
Download Factfulness Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
INSTANT NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER “One of the most important books I’ve ever read—an indispensable guide to thinking clearly about the world.” – Bill Gates “Hans Rosling tells the story of ‘the secret silent miracle of human progress’ as only he can. But Factfulness does much more than that. It also explains why progress is so often secret and silent and teaches readers how to see it clearly.” —Melinda Gates "Factfulness by Hans Rosling, an outstanding international public health expert, is a hopeful book about the potential for human progress when we work off facts rather than our inherent biases." - Former U.S. President Barack Obama Factfulness: The stress-reducing habit of only carrying opinions for which you have strong supporting facts. When asked simple questions about global trends—what percentage of the world’s population live in poverty; why the world’s population is increasing; how many girls finish school—we systematically get the answers wrong. So wrong that a chimpanzee choosing answers at random will consistently outguess teachers, journalists, Nobel laureates, and investment bankers. In Factfulness, Professor of International Health and global TED phenomenon Hans Rosling, together with his two long-time collaborators, Anna and Ola, offers a radical new explanation of why this happens. They reveal the ten instincts that distort our perspective—from our tendency to divide the world into two camps (usually some version of us and them) to the way we consume media (where fear rules) to how we perceive progress (believing that most things are getting worse). Our problem is that we don’t know what we don’t know, and even our guesses are informed by unconscious and predictable biases. It turns out that the world, for all its imperfections, is in a much better state than we might think. That doesn’t mean there aren’t real concerns. But when we worry about everything all the time instead of embracing a worldview based on facts, we can lose our ability to focus on the things that threaten us most. Inspiring and revelatory, filled with lively anecdotes and moving stories, Factfulness is an urgent and essential book that will change the way you see the world and empower you to respond to the crises and opportunities of the future. --- “This book is my last battle in my life-long mission to fight devastating ignorance...Previously I armed myself with huge data sets, eye-opening software, an energetic learning style and a Swedish bayonet for sword-swallowing. It wasn’t enough. But I hope this book will be.” Hans Rosling, February 2017.
Author | : Shanto Iyengar |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 214 |
Release | : 2010-10-15 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 0226388603 |
Download News That Matters Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Almost twenty-five years ago, Shanto Iyengar and Donald R. Kinder first documented a series of sophisticated and innovative experiments that unobtrusively altered the order and emphasis of news stories in selected television broadcasts. Their resulting book News That Matters, now hailed as a classic by scholars of political science and public opinion alike, is here updated for the twenty-first century, with a new preface and epilogue by the authors. Backed by careful analysis of public opinion surveys, the authors show how, despite changing American politics, those issues that receive extended coverage in the national news become more important to viewers, while those that are ignored lose credibility. Moreover, those issues that are prominent in the news stream continue to loom more heavily as criteria for evaluating the president and for choosing between political candidates. “News That Matters does matter, because it demonstrates conclusively that television newscasts powerfully affect opinion. . . . All that follows, whether it supports, modifies, or challenges their conclusions, will have to begin here.”—The Public Interest
Author | : |
Publisher | : KARTHALA Editions |
Total Pages | : 209 |
Release | : |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 2811100563 |
Download Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : United States Government Accountability Office |
Publisher | : Lulu.com |
Total Pages | : 234 |
Release | : 2019-03-24 |
Genre | : Reference |
ISBN | : 0359536395 |
Download Government Auditing Standards - 2018 Revision Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Audits provide essential accountability and transparency over government programs. Given the current challenges facing governments and their programs, the oversight provided through auditing is more critical than ever. Government auditing provides the objective analysis and information needed to make the decisions necessary to help create a better future. The professional standards presented in this 2018 revision of Government Auditing Standards (known as the Yellow Book) provide a framework for performing high-quality audit work with competence, integrity, objectivity, and independence to provide accountability and to help improve government operations and services. These standards, commonly referred to as generally accepted government auditing standards (GAGAS), provide the foundation for government auditors to lead by example in the areas of independence, transparency, accountability, and quality through the audit process. This revision contains major changes from, and supersedes, the 2011 revision.
Author | : Great Britain. Parliament. House of Commons |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 578 |
Release | : 1825 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Papers Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Philip E. Tetlock |
Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
Total Pages | : 368 |
Release | : 2017-08-29 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 1400888816 |
Download Expert Political Judgment Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Author | : Alison J. Murray Levine |
Publisher | : A&C Black |
Total Pages | : 238 |
Release | : 2011-11-03 |
Genre | : Performing Arts |
ISBN | : 144113963X |
Download Framing the Nation Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Argues that interwar documentary film made a substantial contribution to the rewriting of the French national narrative
Author | : Gabriel S. Lenz |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 341 |
Release | : 2013-01-29 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 0226472159 |
Download Follow the Leader? Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
In a democracy, we generally assume that voters know the policies they prefer and elect like-minded officials who are responsible for carrying them out. We also assume that voters consider candidates' competence, honesty, and other performance-related traits. But does this actually happen? Do voters consider candidates’ policy positions when deciding for whom to vote? And how do politicians’ performances in office factor into the voting decision? In Follow the Leader?, Gabriel S. Lenz sheds light on these central questions of democratic thought. Lenz looks at citizens’ views of candidates both before and after periods of political upheaval, including campaigns, wars, natural disasters, and episodes of economic boom and bust. Noting important shifts in voters’ knowledge and preferences as a result of these events, he finds that, while citizens do assess politicians based on their performance, their policy positions actually matter much less. Even when a policy issue becomes highly prominent, voters rarely shift their votes to the politician whose position best agrees with their own. In fact, Lenz shows, the reverse often takes place: citizens first pick a politician and then adopt that politician’s policy views. In other words, they follow the leader. Based on data drawn from multiple countries, Follow the Leader? is the most definitive treatment to date of when and why policy and performance matter at the voting booth, and it will break new ground in the debates about democracy.
Author | : Canada. Legislature. Legislative Assembly |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 520 |
Release | : 1861 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Journals Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle