Lights and Shadows of Domestic Life, and Other Stories
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Total Pages | : 267 |
Release | : 1850 |
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Total Pages | : 267 |
Release | : 1850 |
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Total Pages | : 286 |
Release | : 1850 |
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Author | : Gary A. Klein |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 355 |
Release | : 2011-09-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 026225834X |
An expert explains how the conventional wisdom about decision making can get us into trouble—and why experience can’t be replaced by rules, procedures, or analytical methods In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines—gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better suited for the laboratory than for life. The standard advice works well when everything is clear, but the tough decisions involve shadowy conditions of complexity and ambiguity. Gathering masses of information, for example, works if the information is accurate and complete—but that doesn't often happen in the real world. (Think about the careful risk calculations that led to the downfall of the Wall Street investment houses.) Klein offers more realistic ideas about how to make decisions in real-life settings. He provides many examples—ranging from airline pilots and weather forecasters to sports announcers and Captain Jack Aubrey in Patrick O’Brian’s Master and Commander novels—to make his point. All these decision makers saw things that others didn’t. They used their expertise to pick up cues and to discern patterns and trends. We can make better decisions, Klein tells us, if we are prepared for complexity and ambiguity and if we will stop expecting the data to tell us everything. “I know of no one who combines theory and observation—intellectual rigor and painstaking observation of the real world—so brilliantly and gracefully as Gary Klein.” —Malcolm Gladwell, author of Outliers and Blink
Author | : Sara B. Larson |
Publisher | : Tor Teen |
Total Pages | : 368 |
Release | : 2019-11-05 |
Genre | : Young Adult Fiction |
ISBN | : 1250208394 |
From the acclaimed author of Defy, Sara B. Larson, Sisters of Shadow and Light is a timeless and fantastical tale of sisterly love and powerful magic The night my sister was born, the stars died and were reborn in her eyes.... Zuhra and Inara have grown up in the Citadel of the Paladins, an abandoned fortress where legendary, magical warriors once lived before disappearing from the world—including their Paladin father the night Inara was born. On that same night, a massive, magical hedge grew and imprisoned them within the citadel. Inara inherited their father’s Paladin power; her eyes glow blue and she is able to make plants grow at unbelievable rates, but she has been trapped in her own mind because of a “roar” that drowns everything else out—leaving Zuhra virtually alone with their emotionally broken human mother. For fifteen years they have lived, trapped in the citadel, with little contact from the outside world...until the day a stranger passes through the hedge, and everything changes. At the Publisher's request, this title is being sold without Digital Rights Management Software (DRM) applied.
Author | : T.S. Arthur |
Publisher | : BoD – Books on Demand |
Total Pages | : 178 |
Release | : 2019-09-25 |
Genre | : Fiction |
ISBN | : 3734064783 |
Reproduction of the original: Home Lights and Shadows by T.S. Arthur
Author | : Edwin Percy Whipple |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 236 |
Release | : 1853 |
Genre | : Authors |
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Author | : San Francisco Public Library |
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Total Pages | : 36 |
Release | : 1901 |
Genre | : Fiction |
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Author | : Springfield City Library Association (Springfield, Mass.) |
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Total Pages | : 696 |
Release | : 1871 |
Genre | : Libraries |
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Total Pages | : 440 |
Release | : 1993 |
Genre | : American literature |
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Author | : Alfred Tennyson Baron Tennyson |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 240 |
Release | : 1852 |
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