How Delaying Fiscal Consolidation Affects The Present Value Of Gdp PDF Download
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Author | : Mr.Kevin Fletcher |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 31 |
Release | : 2015-03-05 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1484350804 |
Download How Delaying Fiscal Consolidation Affects the Present Value of GDP Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We develop a simple model to examine the conditions under which delaying fiscal consolidation can affect the present value of GDP via the fiscal stance’s effects on the output gap and hysteresis. We find that the absolute size of the fiscal multiplier—the focus of much empirical investigation and policy debate—is likely inconsequential in this regard. Rather, what matters is the degree to which the multiplier during the initial period of fiscal stimulus differs from the multiplier when the stimulus is withdrawn. If the multiplier is constant over time, delaying consolidation is unlikely to significantly boost the present value of GDP via effects on the output gap and hysteresis. The potential success of such efforts relies instead on exploiting time-variation in multipliers.
Author | : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 15 |
Release | : 2015-06-18 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513503979 |
Download IMF Research Bulletin, June 2015 Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
In the June 2015 issue, the Research Summaries review "Migration: An Attractive Insurance Option in African Countries" (Ahmat Jidoud) and "Investment in Emerging Markets" (Nicolas E. Magud and Sebastian Sosa). The Q&A looks at "Seven Questions on Islamic Finance” (Inutu Lukonga). The Bulletin also includes its regular listings of recent IMF Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes, as well as information on the "IMF Economic Review." A new IMF eLibrary discussion site on energy and climate change is highlighted, along with new recommendations from IMF Publications.
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 107 |
Release | : 2012-07-19 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475506465 |
Download United Kingdom Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This 2012 Article IV Consultation reports that the United Kingdom's economic recovery has been sluggish, as the needed hand-off from public to private demand-led growth has not fully materialized. Economic activity is projected to gain modest momentum in future, but the pace of expansion is expected to be weak relative to the scale of underutilized resources. Executive Directors have welcomed the authorities’ efforts aimed at economic rebalancing. However, they have cautioned that a stalling recovery, high unemployment, and uncertain external conditions continue to present significant challenges.
Author | : Alberto Alesina |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 596 |
Release | : 2013-06-25 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 022601844X |
Download Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The recent recession has brought fiscal policy back to the forefront, with economists and policy makers struggling to reach a consensus on highly political issues like tax rates and government spending. At the heart of the debate are fiscal multipliers, whose size and sensitivity determine the power of such policies to influence economic growth. Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis focuses on the effects of fiscal stimuli and increased government spending, with contributions that consider the measurement of the multiplier effect and its size. In the face of uncertainty over the sustainability of recent economic policies, further contributions to this volume discuss the merits of alternate means of debt reduction through decreased government spending or increased taxes. A final section examines how the short-term political forces driving fiscal policy might be balanced with aspects of the long-term planning governing monetary policy. A direct intervention in timely debates, Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis offers invaluable insights about various responses to the recent financial crisis.
Author | : George A. Akerlof |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 369 |
Release | : 2016-09-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0262529858 |
Download What Have We Learned? Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Top economists consider how to conduct policy in a world where previous beliefs have been shattered by the recent financial and economic crises. Since 2008, economic policymakers and researchers have occupied a brave new economic world. Previous consensuses have been upended, former assumptions have been cast into doubt, and new approaches have yet to stand the test of time. Policymakers have been forced to improvise and researchers to rethink basic theory. George Akerlof, Nobel Laureate and one of this volume's editors, compares the crisis to a cat stuck in a tree, afraid to move. In April 2013, the International Monetary Fund brought together leading economists and economic policymakers to discuss the slowly emerging contours of the macroeconomic future. This book offers their combined insights. The editors and contributors—who include the Nobel Laureate and bestselling author Joseph Stiglitz, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Janet Yellen, and the former Governor of the Bank of Israel Stanley Fischer—consider the lessons learned from the crisis and its aftermath. They discuss, among other things, post-crisis questions about the traditional policy focus on inflation; macroprudential tools (which focus on the stability of the entire financial system rather than of individual firms) and their effectiveness; fiscal stimulus, public debt, and fiscal consolidation; and exchange rate arrangements.
Author | : Richard Hemming |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 62 |
Release | : 2002-12 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : |
Download The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.
Author | : Mr.Daniel Leigh |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 41 |
Release | : 2011-07-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1455294691 |
Download Expansionary Austerity New International Evidence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper investigates the short-term effects of fiscal consolidation on economic activity in OECD economies. We examine the historical record, including Budget Speeches and IMFdocuments, to identify changes in fiscal policy motivated by a desire to reduce the budget deficit and not by responding to prospective economic conditions. Using this new dataset, our estimates suggest fiscal consolidation has contractionary effects on private domestic demand and GDP. By contrast, estimates based on conventional measures of the fiscal policy stance used in the literature support the expansionary fiscal contractions hypothesis but appear to be biased toward overstating expansionary effects.
Author | : Mr.J. D. Craig |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 50 |
Release | : 1998-02-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 155775697X |
Download Transparency in Government Operations Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Transparency in government operations is widely regarded as an important precondition for macroeconomic fiscal sustainability, good governance, and overall fiscal rectitude. Notably, the Interim Committee, at its April and September 1996 meetings, stressed the need for greater fiscal transparency. Prompted by these concerns, this paper represents a first attempt to address many of the aspects of transparency in government operations. It provides an overview of major issues in fiscal transparency and examines the IMF's role in promoting transparency in government operations.
Author | : Mr.James Daniel |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 80 |
Release | : 2006-08-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781589065130 |
Download Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The pamphlet (which updates the 1995 Guidelines for Fiscal Adjustment) presents the IMF’s approach to fiscal adjustment, and focuses on the role that sound government finances play in promoting macroeconomic stability and growth. Structured around five practical questions—when to adjust, how to assess the fiscal position, what makes for successful adjustment, how to carry out adjustment, and which institutions can help—it covers topics such as tax policies, debt sustainability, fiscal responsibility laws, and transparency.
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 112 |
Release | : 2014-05-23 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498343333 |
Download The Fund’s Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt - Annexes Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
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