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Oregon Blue Book

Oregon Blue Book
Author: Oregon. Office of the Secretary of State
Publisher:
Total Pages: 208
Release: 1919
Genre: Oregon
ISBN:

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Primary Politics

Primary Politics
Author: Elaine Kamarck
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Total Pages: 253
Release: 2018-11-13
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0815735286

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The 2020 presidential primaries are on the horizon and this third edition of Elaine Kamarck's Primary Politics will be there to help make sense of them. Updated to include the 2016 election, it will once again be the guide to understanding the modern nominating system that gave the American electorate a choice between Donald Trump and Hilary Clinton. In Primary Politics, political insider Elaine Kamarck explains how the presidential nomination process became the often baffling system we have today, including the “robot rule.” Her focus is the largely untold story of how presidential candidates since the early 1970s have sought to alter the rules in their favor and how their failures and successes have led to even more change. She describes how candidates have sought to manipulate the sequencing of primaries to their advantage and how Iowa and New Hampshire came to dominate the system. She analyzes the rules that are used to translate votes into delegates, paying special attention to the Democrats' twenty-year fight over proportional representation and some of its arcana. Drawing on meticulous research, interviews with key figures in both parties, and years of experience, this book explores one of the most important questions in American politics—how we narrow the list of presidential candidates every four years.


Voters

Voters
Author: Robert Grayson
Publisher: Lerner Publications (Tm)
Total Pages: 68
Release: 2016
Genre: Juvenile Nonfiction
ISBN: 1467779113

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Examine opposing viewpoints on some of the key issues in the election process and consider for yourself the responsibilities and challenges of voting in a US election.


Primary Elections

Primary Elections
Author: Charles Edward Merriam
Publisher:
Total Pages: 346
Release: 1908
Genre: Primaries
ISBN:

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Voting In An Election

Voting In An Election
Author: John Hamilton
Publisher: ABDO Publishing Company
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2004-08-15
Genre: Juvenile Nonfiction
ISBN: 1617848417

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Discusses different aspects of government, how it works, civic duties, and the people's role in government.


Voting Information

Voting Information
Author: United States. Office of Information for the Armed Forces
Publisher:
Total Pages: 100
Release: 1972
Genre: Soldiers
ISBN:

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From the Primaries to the Polls

From the Primaries to the Polls
Author: Thomas Gangale
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
Total Pages: 278
Release: 2007-12-30
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0313348367

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America's presidential nominating process is inherently unfair and exclusive, yielding undue weight and privilege to the states that vote in the earliest rounds. More and more states are beating down the door to vote earlier, trying to redress the inequity on a state-by-state basis. In the ensuing free-for-all, the presidential primary schedule has become so front-loaded that the anointed front-runner with the biggest war chest in each of the major parties is the de facto nominee. The primaries are becoming mere noise and pageantry, as the national conventions have been for several decades. From the Primaries to the Polls describes the problem and proposes the solution. The American Plan is designed to begin with contests in small-population states, where candidates do not need millions of dollars to compete and a wide field of presidential hopefuls can be competitive in the early going. A minor candidate's surprise success in early rounds, based on merit rather than money, tends to attract money from larger numbers of small contributors for the campaign to spend in later rounds of primaries. Keeping more candidates in the race longer to challenge to the front-runners prevents a rush to judgment and permits more voters across the country to select from a diverse field. As the campaign proceeds over ten two-week intervals of primaries and caucuses on a semi-randomized schedule, the aggregate value of contested states becomes successively larger, requiring the expenditure of larger amounts of money in order to campaign effectively. A more gradual weeding-out process occurs, allowing a clear winner to emerge only after the full spectrum of candidates has been in play nationally.


North Dakota Blue Book

North Dakota Blue Book
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 516
Release: 1907
Genre: North Dakota
ISBN:

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Pre-Election Polling

Pre-Election Polling
Author: Irving Crespi
Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation
Total Pages: 218
Release: 1988-08-23
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1610441443

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Since 1948, when pollsters unanimously forecast a Dewey victory over Truman, media-sponsored polls have proliferated, accompanied by a growing unease about their accuracy. Pre-Election Polling probes the results of over 430 recent polls and taps the professional "lore" of experienced pollsters to offer a major new assessment of polling practices in the 1980s. In a study of unusual scope and depth, Crespi examines the accuracy of polls conducted before a range of elections, from presidential to local. He incorporates the previously unpublished observations and reflections of pollsters representing national organizations (including Gallup, Roper, and the CBS/New York Times Poll) as well as pollsters from state, academic, and private organizations. Crespi finds potential sources of polling error in such areas as sampling, question wording, anticipating turnout, and accounting for last-minute changes in preference. To these methodological correlates of accuracy he adds important political considerations—is it a primary or general election; what office is being contested; how well known are the candidates; how crystallized are voter attitudes? Polls have become a vital feature of our political process; by exploring their strengths and weaknesses, Pre-Election Polling enhances our ability to predict and understand the complexities of voting behavior. "Combines intelligent empirical analysis with an informed insider's interpretation of the dynamics of the survey research process....Should be studied not only by all practitioners and students of opinion research but by anyone who makes use of polls." —Leo Bogart, Newspaper Advertising Bureau, Inc.


Predicting the Next President

Predicting the Next President
Author: Allan J. Lichtman
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 246
Release: 2024-07-01
Genre: Political Science
ISBN:

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In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!