Evidential Decision Theory PDF Download
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Author | : Arif Ahmed |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 112 |
Release | : 2021-10-21 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 1108607861 |
Download Evidential Decision Theory Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.
Author | : James M. Joyce |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 300 |
Release | : 1999-04-13 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : 9780521641647 |
Download The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true.
Author | : Arif Ahmed |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2017-02-02 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 9781316641545 |
Download Evidence, Decision and Causality Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Most philosophers agree that causal knowledge is essential to decision-making: agents should choose from the available options those that probably cause the outcomes that they want. This book argues against this theory and in favour of evidential or Bayesian decision theory, which emphasises the symptomatic value of options over their causal role. It examines a variety of settings, including economic theory, quantum mechanics and philosophical thought-experiments, where causal knowledge seems to make a practical difference. The arguments make novel use of machinery from other areas of philosophical inquiry, including first-person epistemology and the free will debate. The book also illustrates the applicability of decision theory itself to questions about the direction of time and the special epistemic status of agents.
Author | : James M. Joyce |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 281 |
Release | : 1999-04-13 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 1139471384 |
Download The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
Author | : Richard Bradley |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 351 |
Release | : 2017-10-26 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1107003210 |
Download Decision Theory with a Human Face Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.
Author | : Martin Peterson |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 351 |
Release | : 2017-03-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1107151597 |
Download An Introduction to Decision Theory Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.
Author | : Arif Ahmed |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 243 |
Release | : 2018-11 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1107180279 |
Download Newcomb's Problem Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Which of two boxes to select for a monetary award; or, to select both? Someone else has predicted your choice.
Author | : José Luis Bermúdez |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 281 |
Release | : 2018-12-06 |
Genre | : Philosophy |
ISBN | : 1108420095 |
Download Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A distinguished group of philosophers, decision theorists, and psychologists offer new interdisciplinary perspectives on the rationality of self-control.
Author | : Richard C. Jeffrey |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 245 |
Release | : 1990-07-15 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 0226395820 |
Download The Logic of Decision Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
"[This book] proposes new foundations for the Bayesian principle of rational action, and goes on to develop a new logic of desirability and probabtility."—Frederic Schick, Journal of Philosophy
Author | : Richard C. Jeffrey |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 262 |
Release | : 1992-03-27 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 9780521397704 |
Download Probability and the Art of Judgment Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Spanning a period of 35 years, this collection of essays includes some of the classic works of one of the most distinquished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge.