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Review of Earnings Response Coefficient Studies

Review of Earnings Response Coefficient Studies
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Release: 2017
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The importance of earnings response coefficient (ERC) research arises mainly from the need to enhance confidence of a firm's stakeholders in accounting information announcements, especially the equity investors, enabling them to make informed stock decisions. Due to the significance of this subject, this paper provides a review of the extant ERC literature and expounds on its evolution and development of the relevant theories, offers perspectives, and highlights the models used since 1968 when the earnings-to-returns relationship first became prominent. The study also evaluates the application of the ERC perspective and highlights the main empirical findings and also elucidates on related research methodologies applied to date and incorporates the relevant explicit and implied critiques. The main research results found while conducting this review supports the relevance of accounting information announcements to stock price formations, and therefore enhancing the confidence of investors and firm's stakeholders in such announcements (Ball & Brown, 1968; Collins & Kothari, 1989; Cheng, 1994; Kothari et al., 2010; Ariff et al., 2011; Hwang & Zhang, 2012; Patatoukas, 2013; Mostafa & Dixon, 2013; Al-Baidhani et al., 2017). Researchers also calculated and evaluated relevant ERCs using different methods such as event study method and regression methods, and applying different approaches such as individual stocks approach and portfolios approach, as detailed in this review. In addition to the enhancement of the stakeholders' confidence in the accounting information, this review paper will be useful to financial accounting standards setters and contributes to a holistic understanding of the literature on earnings-to-returns relationship.


Earnings Response Coefficient

Earnings Response Coefficient
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Release: 2017
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This paper reports new findings from applying portfolio method, which shows a much bigger earnings impact on share prices (ERC) compared to the erstwhile reports of ERC using individual events, averaged over the sample. We estimate cumulative abnormal returns, CAR, across a test window for each quarterly earnings announcement event across one accounting year. The CARs are then regressed against earnings changes of individual firms and portfolios. The findings show a significant positive CAR when earnings increases; and a negative CAR if earnings declines. The ERC is very small in the test period of 2001-14, which is consistent with published results for years before 2000. The ERC size magnifies substantially due to the grouping effect used through portfolio formation. What is significant is that the use of portfolio method, by removing the idiosyncratic errors, show a price response very close to the size of earnings (i.e., ERC of 0.93) with a very high R-square of 75 percent. The last evidence supports strongly the value relevance accounting theory that has not seen much support from averaging the price responses of individual event responses.


Earnings Response Coefficient Models

Earnings Response Coefficient Models
Author: Nandkumar Nayar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 23
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

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We provide a rigorous and comprehensive set of derivations of earnings response coefficient models in levels and changes forms. Reverse return coefficient models are also derived. The models all are variants on the present value of dividends model of stock prices. Most of these models do not appear in the literature or appear only implicitly. We start with the simplest 100 percent payout model and work up to IMA (1,1) processes for earnings. We also model the case in which the information set is more than earnings. The approach introduced in this article provides a firm basis for further extensions.


Two Essays on Information and Control Issues in Accounting?

Two Essays on Information and Control Issues in Accounting?
Author: Xiaoli Rao
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Release: 2017-01-27
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ISBN: 9781374711938

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This dissertation, "Two Essays on Information and Control Issues in Accounting?" by Xiaoli, Rao, 饒曉莉, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of the thesis entitled Two Essays on Information and Control Issues in Accounting Submitted By Rao Xiaoli for the Degree of Master of Philosophy at The University of Hong Kong in October 2003 Abstract This thesis consists of two essays: 1. Has Earnings Information Become Less Useful for Financial Analysts and Investors? 2. Consequences of Group Affiliation: Evidence from Financial Statement and Stock Market -An Analysis of Hong Kong Business Groups. The first study investigates whether the usefulness of earnings information has changed in the last two decades, in the eyes of both analysts and investors, using data from U.S. firms. Contrary to assertions made by other studies, I find no consistent evidence that the earnings have lost its value relevance over time. My result shows that there is a significant increase in the analysts' earnings response coefficient, implying that analysts place more trust on earnings information than before. I also examine four factors (i.e., size, industry, earnings and stability) that are likely to contribute to changes in the EPS over time. It seems that both analysts' ERC and investors' ERC are higher for high- technology firms than for other firms. This is contrary to the argument that for firms with iilarge amounts of unrecorded intangibles, financial accounting information is of limited value. I find that the earnings of larger firms are more trusted by analysts than the earnings of small firms. Moreover, for analysts' ERC study, I also consider the possibility that analysts under-react to information (accounting and non-accounting) received during the year. My results show that analysts' consensus forecast revisions (in the year-end, upon receiving of earnings information) are positively correlated with the revision of forecasts during the year (before receiving earnings information), suggesting the existence of under-reaction. However, it does not alter my conclusion that analysts trust more on earnings information throughout the years. The second study examines whether affiliation with business groups is beneficial for firms. Firms affiliated with business groups can benefit from access to some internal institutions to mitigate external market failure. However, group affiliation may also involve the cost of tunneling, which could lead to inferior performance for lower-level firms within a group. I analyze the accounting and stock market performance of HK listed firms, and find that group affiliation is on average beneficial for HK listed firms, especially those affiliated with standard groups. Firms affiliated with business groups are better at efficiently using total assets to generate profit, and they have higher profit margins, suggesting that they are better at cost control. The results also indicate that firms affiliated with business groups are valued more in the stock market. My evidence does not consistently support the existence of tunneling behavior in the Hong Kong stock market. iii DOI: 10.5353/th_b2929484 Subjects: Corporate profits - Accounting Corporate profits - China - Hong Kong - Accounting


Sustained Earnings and Revenue Growth, Earnings Quality, and Earnings Response Coefficients

Sustained Earnings and Revenue Growth, Earnings Quality, and Earnings Response Coefficients
Author: Aloke Ghosh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2012
Genre:
ISBN:

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We show that firms reporting sustained increases in both earnings and revenues have (1) higher quality earnings and (2) larger earnings response coefficients (ERCs) in comparison to firms reporting sustained increases in earnings alone. With respect to earnings quality, firms with revenue-supported increases in earnings have more persistent earnings, exhibit less susceptibility to earnings management, and have higher future operating performance. With respect to response coefficients, firms with revenue-supported increases in earnings have both higher ERCs and lower book value response coefficients, consistent with the implications of the Ohlson (1995) model.


Discussion on Noisy Accounting Earnings Signals and Earnings Response Coefficients

Discussion on Noisy Accounting Earnings Signals and Earnings Response Coefficients
Author: Jennifer L. Kao
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Total Pages:
Release: 2013
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ISBN:

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This paper extends the growing literature on factors affecting cross-sectional and intertemporal variation in earnings response coefficients. It tests the empirical implications of recent theoretical work by Choi and Salamon (1989) and Holthausen and Verrecchia (1988), who model the degree of price adjustment associated with earnings announcements as a function of the amount of noise or garbling in the accounting earnings signal relative to valuation-relevant cash flows or dividends. The particular earnings measurements considered relate to U.S. multinational companies and to the differences in income determination under Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 8 and SFAS No. 52. The study finds a modestly smaller relative price adjustment for a given amount of unexpected earnings for multinational firms than for nonmultinationals during the SFAS No. 8 period. This finding is consistent with multinationals producing "noisier" earnings signals during this time period. However, several indirect measures suggest that there was greater prior probability uncertainty associated with the future cash flows or dividends of the nonmultinational sample. Accordingly, this cannot be ruled out as a competing explanation for the observed differences in the market's response to earnings signals during the SFAS No. 8 period. Following the implementation of SFAS No. 52, the earnings response coefficient increased substantively for firms whose accounting for translation gains or losses was most affected by this standard. These results suggest that the earnings measurements produced under SFAS No. 52 were perceived by market participants to be of higher quality (less noisy) than those produced under SFAS No. 8. The framework and analysis in this paper hold promise for investigating the relative informativeness of earnings signals produced under alternative income determination rules.