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| Author | : Luis C. Dias |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 542 |
| Release | : 2017-11-16 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3319650521 |
Download Elicitation Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book is about elicitation: the facilitation of the quantitative expression of subjective judgement about matters of fact, interacting with subject experts, or about matters of value, interacting with decision makers or stakeholders. It offers an integrated presentation of procedures and processes that allow analysts and experts to think clearly about numbers, particularly the inputs for decision support systems and models. This presentation encompasses research originating in the communities of structured probability elicitation/calibration and multi-criteria decision analysis, often unaware of each other’s developments. Chapters 2 through 9 focus on processes to elicit uncertainty from experts, including the Classical Method for aggregating judgements from multiple experts concerning probability distributions; the issue of validation in the Classical Method; the Sheffield elicitation framework; the IDEA protocol; approaches following the Bayesian perspective; the main elements of structured expert processes for dependence elicitation; and how mathematical methods can incorporate correlations between experts. Chapters 10 through 14 focus on processes to elicit preferences from stakeholders or decision makers, including two chapters on problems under uncertainty (utility functions), and three chapters that address elicitation of preferences independently of, or in absence of, any uncertainty elicitation (value functions and ELECTRE). Two chapters then focus on cross-cutting issues for elicitation of uncertainties and elicitation of preferences: biases and selection of experts. Finally, the last group of chapters illustrates how some of the presented approaches are applied in practice, including a food security case in the UK; expert elicitation in health care decision making; an expert judgement based method to elicit nuclear threat risks in US ports; risk assessment in a pulp and paper manufacturer in the Nordic countries; and elicitation of preferences for crop planning in a Greek region.
| Author | : Baruch Fischhoff |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 268 |
| Release | : 2013-03-14 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9401714061 |
Download Elicitation of Preferences Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Economists and psychologists have, on the whole, exhibited sharply different perspectives on the elicitation of preferences. Economists, who have made preference the central primitive in their thinking about human behavior, have for the most part rejected elicitation and have instead sought to infer preferences from observations of choice behavior. Psychologists, who have tended to think of preference as a context-determined subjective construct, have embraced elicitation as their dominant approach to measurement. This volume, based on a symposium organized by Daniel McFadden at the University of California at Berkeley, provides a provocative and constructive engagement between economists and psychologists on the elicitation of preferences.
| Author | : Wayne Taylor |
| Publisher | : Lulu.com |
| Total Pages | : 78 |
| Release | : 2012-01-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0557399947 |
Download The Dark Arts of Business: Elicitation Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The Dark Arts of Business: Elicitation is a no-nonsense, how to guide to conduct elicitation and understand when someone is eliciting information from you. This book covers a wide range of material introducing the reader to the importance of elicitation in daily conversations to understanding when elicitation is being used against you. The coverage includes the use of basic elicitation techniques, advanced elicitation techniques to the use of conversational gates and mapping.
| Author | : Bilal M. Ayyub |
| Publisher | : CRC Press |
| Total Pages | : 328 |
| Release | : 2001-06-27 |
| Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
| ISBN | : 9780849310874 |
Download Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contributions may also contain their own biases and pet theories. Therefore, selecting experts, eliciting their opinions, and aggregating their opinions must be performed and handled carefully, with full recognition of the uncertainties inherent in those opinions. Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks illuminates those uncertainties and builds a foundation of philosophy, background, methods, and guidelines that helps its readers effectively execute the elicitation process. Based on the first-hand experiences of the author, the book is filled with illustrations, examples, case studies, and applications that demonstrate not only the methods and successes of expert opinion elicitation, but also its pitfalls and failures. Studies show that in the future, analysts, engineers, and scientists will need to solve ever more complex problems and reach decisions with limited resources. This will lead to an increased reliance on the proper treatment of uncertainty and on the use of expert opinions. Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks will help prepare you to better understand knowledge and ignorance, to successfully elicit expert opinions, to select appropriate expressions of those opinions, and to use various methods to model and aggregate opinions.
| Author | : James A. Coan |
| Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
| Total Pages | : 492 |
| Release | : 2007-04-19 |
| Genre | : Psychology |
| ISBN | : 019972766X |
Download Handbook of Emotion Elicitation and Assessment Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Emotion research has become a mature branch of psychology, with its own standardized measures, induction procedures, data-analysis challenges, and sub-disciplines. During the last decade, a number of books addressing major questions in the study of emotion have been published in response to a rapidly increasing demand that has been fueled by an increasing number of psychologists whose research either focus on or involve the study of emotion. Very few of these books, however, have presented an explicit discussion of the tools for conducting research, despite the facts that the study of emotion frequently requires highly specialized procedures, instruments, and coding strategies, and that the field has reached a place where a large number of excellent elicitation procedures and assessment instruments have been developed and validated. Emotion Elicitation and Assessment corrects this oversight in the literature by organizing and detailing all the major approaches and instruments for the study of emotion. It is the most complete reference for methods and resources in the field, and will serve as a pragmatic resource for emotion researchers by providing easy access to a host of scales, stimuli, coding systems, assessment tools, and innovative methodologies. This handbook will help to advance research in emotion by encouraging researchers to take greater advantage of standard and well-researched approaches, which will increase both the productivity in the field and the speed and accuracy with which research can be communicated.
| Author | : Martin Fehrenbach |
| Publisher | : diplom.de |
| Total Pages | : 75 |
| Release | : 1999-04-14 |
| Genre | : Computers |
| ISBN | : 3832415181 |
Download A Survey on Requirements Elicitation Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Inhaltsangabe:Abstract: The first step during the software development, requirements engineering, is very critical because of the high effort (in time and costs) that has to be made to correct mistakes detected later that have been made in this early phase of software life-cycle. In order to support the aim of high-quality software, the goals of requirements engineering are developing a complete as possible specification, providing integrated representation formalisms and accomplishing a common agreement on the specification. The very first activity that has to be passed through is requirements elicitation. There are existing three main problems: the problem of defining the scope, the problem of understanding the users needs and the problem of requirements volatility over time. You can follow several heuristics and guidelines to find solutions to these problems. In addition, several techniques and methodologies have been suggested to support the process of requirements elicitation. They differ in several ways: the kind of problem they intend to solve, the methods used for achieving this aim, the kind of people involved, the level of abstraction and precision the requirements have to be formulated in. In this report, a selection of these techniques and methodologies is chosen and they are classified into a classification scheme worked out. The techniques and methodologies can coarsely be divided into four classes: interview-oriented approaches, objective and goal analysis-oriented approaches, viewpoint analysis-oriented approaches, and scenario analysis-oriented approaches. There are others that do not fit into this division, but provide nevertheless help for requirements elicitation. The developed classification scheme highlights the differences between the existing techniques. It should serve as an overview of existing techniques and methods as a guideline for analysts and developers for finding an appropriate method for problems at hand. Inhaltsverzeichnis:Table of Contents: 1.Introduction1 2.Conceptions and Guidelines5 2.1Requirements Elicitation Process Model5 2.2Guidelines for Requirements Elicitation9 3.Framework for Understanding Elicitation Approaches13 3.1Problem14 3.2Methods15 3.3People16 3.4Type17 3.5Solution18 4.Categorization of Requirements Elicitation Approaches19 4.1Interview-Oriented Approaches20 4.2Objective and Goal-Oriented Approaches25 4.3Viewpoint Analysis-Oriented Approaches32 4.4Scenario [...]
| Author | : Bilal M. Ayyub |
| Publisher | : CRC Press |
| Total Pages | : 325 |
| Release | : 2001-06-27 |
| Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
| ISBN | : 1420040901 |
Download Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contributions may also contain their own biases and pet theories. Therefore, selecting experts, eliciting their opinions, and aggregating their opinions must be performed and handled carefully, w
| Author | : Lionel A. Galway |
| Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
| Total Pages | : 43 |
| Release | : 2007 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0833040111 |
Download Subjective Probability Distribution Elicitation in Cost Risk Analysis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A cost estimate for a project such as the acquisition of a new aircraft or satellite system carries with it an inherent probability that the actual cost will exceed the estimate-that changes in requirements, technology, the economic environment, and a multitude of other factors that may occur over the life of the project will change the final cost. One major approach to cost risk analysis-the evaluating and quantifying of the uncertainty of a cost estimate-has been probabilistic: expressing the uncertainty in a cost estimate as a probability distribution over a range of potential costs. Cost analysts in industry and government and researchers in statistics and management have often proposed that, to get probability distributions for platforms using new and untried technologies, expert judgment should be tapped and subjective probability distributions elicited from the experts to represent cost uncertainty. This technical report reviews procedures for eliciting subjective probability distributions in cost risk analysis, both in the cost risk field and in other disciplines in which elicitation has been a topic of research-primarily, statistics and psychology. Because of a lack of empirical work in elicitation, especially in cost risk, the author also interviewed a number of senior people in the cost risk community, who gave insight into the practices of the field. This report should be of interest to cost analysis professionals who wish to quantify uncertainty when using expert opinions in cost risk analysis.
| Author | : Antonio Bautista García-Vera |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 215 |
| Release | : 2023-01-23 |
| Genre | : Education |
| ISBN | : 3031201647 |
Download Photographic Elicitation and Narration in Teachers Education and Development Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This open access book discusses the functionality of the use of the language of photography in teachers' initial and ongoing training. It analyzes the nature of photography as a representation system, facilitating inquiry and reflection on its practice for teachers and evocating on theories and beliefs that may guide their work in classrooms. Photography is used to represent symbolically and affectively possible contradictions in teaching activities or the inconsistencies between planned teaching tasks and the educational purposes pursued. Resolving these conflicts is one of the ways to promote professional development. This book also describes photo-elicitation and photographic storytelling as work procedures. By analyzing the contributions of these techniques, the development of teachers is improved.
| Author | : Rose Okwemba |
| Publisher | : Exceller Books |
| Total Pages | : 87 |
| Release | : |
| Genre | : Medical |
| ISBN | : 8194136024 |
Download Requirement Elicitation Framework for Re-engineering Diagnostic Health Care Information Systems in Kenya Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Requirements elicitation is the extraction of users’ requirements. This process has been affected by legacy systems which are outdated computer systems that are no longer applicable to current contexts but are being used instead of available upgraded versions. Re-engineering will play an important role in the decision making process, especially the way the data is collected and presented through a computing platform. The study establishes appropriateness of existing Elicitation Techniques, determine appropriate Attributes for re-engineering legacy systems and design a Frame work used during elicitation process.
